Macroeconomic Determinants of House Prices in Malaysia

Macroeconomic Determinants of House Prices in Malaysia. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 54 (1). pp. 153-165. ISSN 2716-6058 (2020)


House prices in Malaysia are considered to be seriously unaffordable as the median all-house price is relatively
higher than the annual median income. Although the issue of house prices is prevalent in the country, few studies have
been done to determine factors that influence its movement. The current paper, therefore, attempts to investigate the
causal relationship between macroeconomic variables and house prices in Malaysia by accounting for the existence
of a structural break for the variables. It is identified that in the long run, macroeconomic variables are collectively
significant in influencing house price movement while the individual impact of macroeconomic variables is varied.
The rise in the level of interest rates, housing supply, and inflation will result in the decline in house prices while gross
domestic product and local currency appreciation cause the price to increase. It was found that stock prices do not
significantly influence house prices. Of all the macroeconomic factors analyzed, exchange rate fluctuations appear
to be most significant in explaining the movement of house prices. In the short-run, all macroeconomic factors are
individually significant in influencing house prices and it is also identified that house prices tend to move back into
their long-run state after temporary macroeconomic shocks with the speed of adjustment around 5.2 percent quarterly.
It is advised for the policymakers to constantly monitor the movement of macroeconomic factors and take necessary
actions to cushion the adverse impact of the movement of house prices in the country

Item Type: Article
Keywords: house price, macroeconomic variable, causal relationship
Taxonomy: By Subject > Business & Management > Economics
By Subject > Business & Management > Finance
Local Content Hub: Subjects > Business & Management
Depositing User: Eza Eliana Abdul Wahid
Date Deposited: 01 Aug 2021 13:49
Last Modified: 01 Aug 2021 13:49
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