Performance of Kuala Lumpur composite index stock market

Performance of Kuala Lumpur composite index stock market. Malaysian Journal of Computing, 5 (2). pp. 553-562. ISSN 2231-7473 (2020)


Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) is made up of over 30 large companies listed on the Bursa Malaysia Main Market. All FTSE Bursa Malaysia data are calculated and disseminated every 15 seconds in real-time. It is believed that the volatility of the stock market has a negative impact on real economic recovery. This paper aims to describe the underlying structure and the phenomenon of the sequence of observations in the series. The information obtained, can determine the performance of time series model to fit the data series from January 2002 until December 2018. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have been shown to provide the correct trend of volatility. The objectives of this paper are to determine the overall trend of the KLCI stock return and to investigate the performance of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) based on KLCI stock return. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) have been chosen to be used in this paper to measure accuracy. The results show that the best ARIMA model is ARIMA(1,1), while for the GARCH model, it is GARCH(1,1).

Item Type: Article
Keywords: Kuala Lumpur Composite Index, ARIMA, GARCH, Stock market
Taxonomy: By Subject > Business & Management > Economics
Local Content Hub: Subjects > Business & Management
Depositing User: Eza Eliana Abdul Wahid
Date Deposited: 24 Feb 2022 23:31
Last Modified: 28 Feb 2022 09:05
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